AEK Atina 1-1 Aris Limassol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 14 Aug 2025

📅14/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
10.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Limassol EU Bookmakers 20%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-48% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Aris Limassol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.08.2025 Aris Limassol Aris Limassol 2-2 HT 2-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
1-1
AWAY Aris Limassol
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 19
11 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Aris Limassol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina and Aris Limassol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. AEK Atina carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AEK Atina had 54% of the ball to Aris Limassol's 46%, shots finished 22-19.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Aris Limassol?

AEK Atina 1-1 Aris Limassol in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 14/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Aris Limassol?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 57%, draw 23%, Aris Limassol 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AEK Atina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
14 Aug 2025
00:00 Brondby vs Vikingur R. Analysis →
00:00 Hibernian vs FK Partizan Analysis →
17:00 FC Astana vs Lausanne Sports Analysis →
19:00 Sabah vs Levski Sofia Analysis →
19:00 FC Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prag Analysis →
19:30 FC Levadia vs Differdange 03 Analysis →