FC Ararat-Armenia 1-2 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 14 Aug 2025

📅14/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.2pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Ararat-Armenia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 53%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -61% / -61%
0.23/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-81% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
278 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Ararat-Armenia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.08.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Ararat-Armenia FC Ararat-Armenia AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Ararat-Armenia
1-2
AWAY Sparta Prag
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag squeezed past FC Ararat-Armenia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Ararat-Armenia had 45% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 55%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of FC Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prag?

FC Ararat-Armenia 1-2 Sparta Prag in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 14/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Ararat-Armenia 32%, draw 23%, Sparta Prag 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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