FC Levadia 1-3 Differdange 03 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 14 Aug 2025

📅14/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Differdange 03 EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Differdange 03
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.08.2025 Differdange 03 Differdange 03 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
1-3
AWAY Differdange 03
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Differdange 03
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Differdange 03 saw off FC Levadia 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Levadia at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Levadia had 50% of the ball to Differdange 03's 50%, shots finished 6-18.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Differdange 03?

FC Levadia 1-3 Differdange 03 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 14/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Differdange 03?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 49%, draw 25%, Differdange 03 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Levadia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ BTTS Yes
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