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Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Trethomas Bluebirds v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
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Caerau (Ely) got the better of Trethomas Bluebirds 4-2 on their travels. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we said in the preview, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came home.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.25 a game for Trethomas Bluebirds against 2.00 for Caerau (Ely).
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Result & Final Score
Trethomas Bluebirds 2 - 4 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 24%, draw 25%, Caerau (Ely) 51%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.