Caerau (Ely) 2-2 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Aug 2024

Caerau (Ely)
2-2 HT 0-0
Trethomas Bluebirds
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Caerau (Ely) vs Trethomas Bluebirds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
24%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.41
No
36%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.9pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.3pp
24%
Away Win
36%
-11.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
67%
-2.2pp
36%
BTTS No
33%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caerau (Ely) v Trethomas Bluebirds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 39%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
417 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Caerau (Ely) vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) and Trethomas Bluebirds couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Caerau (Ely) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Caerau (Ely) 2-2 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 43%, draw 32%, Trethomas Bluebirds 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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