Trethomas Bluebirds 1-0 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Feb 2025

Trethomas Bluebirds
1-0 HT 1-0
Caerau (Ely)
📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.23
Over 2.5
43%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.53
No
57%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
61%
-18.3pp
57%
BTTS No
39%
+18.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trethomas Bluebirds v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
2.03/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.91/1.13
+8% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / +60%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Caerau (Ely)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
26.08.2024 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 2-2 HT 0-0 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds edged past Caerau (Ely) 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Trethomas Bluebirds found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?

Trethomas Bluebirds 1-0 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 36%, draw 28%, Caerau (Ely) 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
21 Feb 2025
22:30 Taffs Well vs Carmarthen Town Analysis →
22:30 Trefelin vs Goytre United Analysis →
22:30 Llanelli Town vs Ammanford Analysis →
22:30 Pontypridd Town AFC vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers Analysis →
22:45 Flint Mountain vs Mold Alexandra Analysis →
22:45 Prestatyn Town vs Airbus UK Analysis →