Taffs Well 3-7 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 56%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
1.83/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.48
+21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taffs Well
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
7 Corners 2
04.01.2025 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
02.03.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
08.09.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-1 HT 1-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
22.04.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
06.12.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
26.03.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-0 HT 1-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Taffs Well vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town cruised past Taffs Well 7-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 7-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Taffs Well and 1.17 for Carmarthen Town.

What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Carmarthen Town?

Taffs Well 3-7 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 25%, draw 27%, Carmarthen Town 48%. The final score 3-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
21 Feb 2025
22:30 Trefelin vs Goytre United Analysis →
22:30 Llanelli Town vs Ammanford Analysis →
22:30 Pontypridd Town AFC vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers Analysis →
22:45 Flint Mountain vs Mold Alexandra Analysis →
22:45 Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Analysis →
22:45 Prestatyn Town vs Airbus UK Analysis →