Carmarthen Town 2-0 Taffs Well — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
16%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
53%
+7.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
16%
Away Win
24%
-8.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
2.11/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.84
-2% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Taffs Well
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2 Corners 7
02.03.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
08.09.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-1 HT 1-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
22.04.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
06.12.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
26.03.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-0 HT 1-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Taffs Well
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town saw off Taffs Well 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.00 for Taffs Well.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Taffs Well?

Carmarthen Town 2-0 Taffs Well in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Taffs Well?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 60%, draw 24%, Taffs Well 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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