Ammanford 5-1 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.85/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.94
+44% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Afan Lido
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
5 Corners 3
15.03.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 2-4 HT 1-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
18.08.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-2 HT 1-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
31.03.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 4-2 HT 2-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
23.09.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-1 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
01.10.2021 Ammanford Ammanford 1-2 HT 0-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford ran out comfortable winners over Afan Lido 5-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ammanford as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Afan Lido led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ammanford and 2.80 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Afan Lido?

Ammanford 5-1 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 48%, draw 25%, Afan Lido 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ammanford), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ammanford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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