Llay Miners Welfare 1-1 Bangor 1876 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
25%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
14%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.9pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-10.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.8pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 69%
+66% / +66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.68
+40% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -28%
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
208 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llay Miners Welfare
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bangor 1876
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
19.10.2024 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 2-1 Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare GALWK
26.08.2024 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 3-0 HT 3-0 Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llay Miners Welfare vs Bangor 1876
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llay Miners Welfare and Bangor 1876 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bangor 1876 at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bangor 1876 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Llay Miners Welfare and 2.50 for Bangor 1876.

What was the final score of Llay Miners Welfare vs Bangor 1876?

Llay Miners Welfare 1-1 Bangor 1876 in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llay Miners Welfare vs Bangor 1876?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangor 1876 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Llay Miners Welfare 23%, draw 24%, Bangor 1876 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangor 1876), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangor 1876) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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