26/08/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Bangor 1876 vs Llay Miners Welfare Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
21%
Draw
19%
22%
Away Win
18%
40%
Under 2.5
28%
60%
Over 2.5
72%
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
44%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bangor 1876 v Llay Miners Welfare — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bangor 1876
EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY
Llay Miners Welfare
EU Bookmakers 21%
-27% /
-27%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+24% /
+24%
1.67/2.11
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
-25%
/
-39%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-24%
/
+110%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
15
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
323 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
340 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bangor 1876 vs Llay Miners Welfare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bangor 1876 swept aside Llay Miners Welfare 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bangor 1876 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Bangor 1876 vs Llay Miners Welfare?
Bangor 1876 3-0 Llay Miners Welfare in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bangor 1876 vs Llay Miners Welfare?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bangor 1876 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bangor 1876 58%, draw 21%, Llay Miners Welfare 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangor 1876), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bangor 1876)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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GALFAW
More Wales - FAW Championship
26 Aug 2024