Ammanford 2-4 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 15 Mar 2024

Ammanford
2-4 HT 1-1
Afan Lido
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Ammanford vs Afan Lido Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.43
No
33%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.9pp
67%
BTTS Yes
66%
+1.6pp
33%
BTTS No
34%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ammanford v Afan Lido — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.17/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.17
+6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ammanford vs Afan Lido Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Afan Lido
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
5 Corners 3
The Meetings
18.08.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-2 HT 1-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
31.03.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 4-2 HT 2-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
23.09.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-1 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
01.10.2021 Ammanford Ammanford 1-2 HT 0-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido beat Ammanford 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ammanford at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Afan Lido led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ammanford and 2.50 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Afan Lido?

Ammanford 2-4 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 46%, draw 22%, Afan Lido 33%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ammanford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ammanford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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