Briton Ferry 2-1 Abertillery Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.11
Draw
15%
8.11
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-14.2pp
15%
Draw
9%
+5.5pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Abertillery Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
3.18/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/3.38
+7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -18%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
496 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Abertillery Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry squeezed past Abertillery Bluebirds 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Briton Ferry as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%) came in.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Abertillery Bluebirds?

Briton Ferry 2-1 Abertillery Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Abertillery Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Briton Ferry win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 71%, draw 15%, Abertillery Bluebirds 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Briton Ferry), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Briton Ferry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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