Bangor 1876 1-0 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 15 Mar 2024

Bangor 1876
1-0
Mold Alexandra
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Bangor 1876 vs Mold Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.32
No
28%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
40%
-14.0pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.2pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+6.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.2pp
72%
BTTS Yes
72%
+0.1pp
28%
BTTS No
28%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bangor 1876 v Mold Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 43%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.61/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.50
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Bangor 1876 vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor 1876 squeezed past Mold Alexandra 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mold Alexandra at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (72%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Bangor 1876 vs Mold Alexandra?

Bangor 1876 1-0 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor 1876 vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bangor 1876 26%, draw 29%, Mold Alexandra 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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