Pontypridd Town AFC 4-1 Penrhiwceiber Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-12.7pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhiwceiber Rangers EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.61/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.02
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +37%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Penrhiwceiber Rangers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.10.2024 Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0-2 HT 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC cruised past Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers?

Pontypridd Town AFC 4-1 Penrhiwceiber Rangers in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 59%, draw 18%, Penrhiwceiber Rangers 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5
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