Trefelin 3-2 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
68%
-0.5pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.2pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.1pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 17%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +30%
2.35/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.66
-16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +39%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Goytre United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
4 Corners 13
08.11.2024 Goytre United Goytre United 1-3 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
29.03.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 2-2 HT 1-1 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
16.09.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 1-3 HT 1-2 Trefelin Trefelin GALWK
11.08.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 0-3 HT 0-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
07.04.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 2-2 HT 1-1 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
13.01.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 3-2 HT 3-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin edged past Goytre United 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trefelin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Trefelin and 1.50 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Goytre United?

Trefelin 3-2 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 68%, draw 17%, Goytre United 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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