Mirassol FC 1-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 14 Aug 2026

📅14/08/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.52
Over
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.32
2-3
35%
1.76
4-5
22%
4.92
6+
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.21
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.0
X/1
12%
3.93
X/2
10%
10.3
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
5%
9.52
2/X
6%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito The Market 20%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
2.06/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.96
+31% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
26.0 Crosses 12.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
378 Passes 266
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2026 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito LKU
15.04.2026 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 2-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
1-1
AWAY LDU Quito
0.74 xG 1.87
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
287 Passes 278
12 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC and LDU Quito couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.87.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mirassol FC and 1.00 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs LDU Quito?

Mirassol FC 1-1 LDU Quito in the Copa Libertadores on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 52%, draw 28%, LDU Quito 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mirassol FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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