LDU Quito 2-0 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 15 Apr 2026

📅15/04/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
17%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
17%
Away Win
21%
-4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+63% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.1 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
2-0
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.70 xG 0.55
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
251 Passes 438
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 5
14 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito beat Mirassol FC 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 39% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 61%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 0.70 to 0.55.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Mirassol FC?

LDU Quito 2-0 Mirassol FC in the Copa Libertadores on 15/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 57%, draw 26%, Mirassol FC 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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