Estudiantes 2-1 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 15 Apr 2026

📅15/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.22
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
27%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.33
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
4%
32.0
X/1
26%
3.41
X/2
2%
30.0
X/X
6%
8.05
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
5%
31.0
2/X
4%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
78%
-1.3pp
14%
Draw
16%
-1.6pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.7pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.93/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.69
+6% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
26.8 Crosses 14.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
350 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2018 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes LKU
15.03.2018 Estudiantes Estudiantes 3-0 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
2-1
AWAY Cusco FC
1.53 xG 0.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
25 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
402 Passes 296
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes squeezed past Cusco FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Estudiantes as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Estudiantes had 56% of the ball to Cusco FC's 44%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 1.53 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estudiantes had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Estudiantes and 0.00 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Cusco FC?

Estudiantes 2-1 Cusco FC in the Copa Libertadores on 15/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 76%, draw 14%, Cusco FC 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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