Bolivar vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bolivar v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals
Bolivar 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics
Bolivar and Deportivo La Guaira shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Bolivar carried 74% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bolivar had 72% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 28%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 2.04 to 0.24.
What was the final score of Bolivar vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Bolivar 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Copa Libertadores on 15/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 74%, draw 16%, Deportivo La Guaira 10%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.