Cerro Porteno 1-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 15 Apr 2026

Cerro Porteno
1-0 HT 0-0
Junior
📅15/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2026

Cerro Porteno vs Junior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.51
Over 2.5
49%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
5.1
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.29
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.63
X/2
9%
6.3
X/X
12%
3.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
33.0
2/2
10%
5.24
2/X
6%
14.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 33.0 — our 10% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.3pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerro Porteno v Junior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.36/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.43
+37% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / +60%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.2 Crosses 11.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Cerro Porteno vs Junior Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Junior
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
264 Passes 438
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.09.2017 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno CON CSA
13.09.2017 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior CON CSA

Cerro Porteno 1-0 Junior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-0
AWAY Junior
1.29 xG 1.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
224 Passes 302
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno nicked a narrow win over Junior 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 45% of the ball to Junior's 55%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.29 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.50 for Junior.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Junior?

Cerro Porteno 1-0 Junior in the Copa Libertadores on 15/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 45%, draw 27%, Junior 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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