Mirassol FC 2-0 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.68
Over
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No Pick
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.65
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.09
6+
8%
19.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.65 — our 35% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.11
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
16%
3.91
X/2
8%
10.15
X/X
12%
4.57
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
8%
8.98
2/X
7%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 11.3
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.55 xG 0.70
61% Ball Possession 39%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
438 Passes 251
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
5 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.04.2026 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 2-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
2-0
AWAY LDU Quito
2.06 xG 0.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
319 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC saw off LDU Quito 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 52% of the ball to LDU Quito's 48%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.06 to 0.36.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs LDU Quito?

Mirassol FC 2-0 LDU Quito in the Copa Libertadores on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 51%, draw 27%, LDU Quito 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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