Junior vs Cerro Porteno Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Junior v Cerro Porteno — Team-Based Signals
Junior vs Cerro Porteno Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Junior 0-1 Cerro Porteno — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno squeezed past Junior 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Junior at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Junior had 65% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 35%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.08 to 0.52 — on chances, Junior could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Junior and 0.67 for Cerro Porteno.
What was the final score of Junior vs Cerro Porteno?
Junior 0-1 Cerro Porteno in the Copa Libertadores on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Junior vs Cerro Porteno?
Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Junior 47%, draw 26%, Cerro Porteno 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Junior) went the other way.