Platense 1-1 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.33
Over
33%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.53
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
45%
1.75
2-3
35%
1.86
4-5
14%
7.69
6+
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.15
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
20%
4.19
X/2
10%
6.89
X/X
15%
3.11
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
17%
6.56
2/X
8%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
72%
-4.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
28%
+4.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.2pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol The Market 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
Crosses 17.9
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY CA Penarol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 1
202 Passes 214
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
7 Box Touches 15
7 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 4
17.04.2026 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-2 HT 0-1 Platense Platense LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Platense
1-1
AWAY CA Penarol
1.07 xG 0.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
223 Passes 117
64% Pass Accuracy 45%
28 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Platense vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense and CA Penarol shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Platense had 58% of the ball to CA Penarol's 42%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.07 to 0.39.

What was the final score of Platense vs CA Penarol?

Platense 1-1 CA Penarol in the Copa Libertadores on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Platense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Platense 39%, draw 30%, CA Penarol 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Platense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Platense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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