CA Penarol vs Platense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Platense — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol 1-2 Platense — Actual Match Statistics
Platense squeezed past CA Penarol 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CA Penarol had 52% of the ball to Platense's 48%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.11 to 1.07.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Platense?
CA Penarol 1-2 Platense in the Copa Libertadores on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Platense?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 46%, draw 33%, Platense 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.