Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo 4-1 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo swept aside Independiente Medellin 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Flamengo had 59% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 41%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.97 to 0.29.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin?
Flamengo 4-1 Independiente Medellin in the Copa Libertadores on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 77%, draw 14%, Independiente Medellin 9%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.