Lanus 1-0 Always Ready — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.15
Over
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.92
2-3
39%
1.81
4-5
24%
2.97
6+
11%
9.32
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.92 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.57
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
19.65
X/1
18%
3.71
X/2
6%
16.2
X/X
12%
6.93
2/1
10%
22.25
2/2
5%
14.15
2/X
4%
22.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Lanus win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
65%
Home Win
71%
-5.1pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Always Ready The Market 14%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.82/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.18
-10% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
10.3 Crosses 6.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
1-0
AWAY Always Ready
2.91 xG 0.16
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
429 Passes 207
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
48 Box Touches 5
25 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Always Ready
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus edged past Always Ready 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lanus had 65% of the ball to Always Ready's 35%, shots finished 26-5, expected goals 2.91 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lanus's control.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Always Ready?

Lanus 1-0 Always Ready in the Copa Libertadores on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Always Ready?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Lanus 65%, draw 20%, Always Ready 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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