Roma (K) 1-1 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.28
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.96
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-11.5pp
16%
Draw
15%
+1.5pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.52/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.85
+74% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
423 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
48.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
20.2 Crosses 14.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.10 xG 0.98
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
391 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.05.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 5-6 HT 1-3 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
23.03.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
13.02.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
19.11.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
1-1
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
0.76 xG 1.13
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
371 Passes 176
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) and Sassuolo (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Roma (K) carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roma (K) had 63% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 37%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.76 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Roma (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Roma (K) and 1.25 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Roma (K) 1-1 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 63%, draw 16%, Sassuolo (K) 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
14 Sep 2024
16:00 Juventus (K) vs Como (K) Analysis →
19:00 AC Milan (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Analysis →