1860 München 2-3 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.95
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.64
No
44%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.55
2-3
46%
1.8
4-5
23%
3.38
6+
6%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.53
1/2
4%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
11%
6.51
X/2
16%
4.89
X/X
16%
4.79
2/1
2%
32.0
2/2
25%
3.03
2/X
5%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 4% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME 1860 München The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden The Market 46%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.22 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.71
1.49 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-1 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
07.10.2023 1860 München 1860 München 0-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
30.01.2023 1860 München 1860 München 1-2 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
23.07.2022 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 3-4 HT 0-2 1860 München 1860 München AL3
22.03.2021 1860 München 1860 München 1-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
15.11.2020 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-1 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
2 - 3
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 12
271 Passes 410
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW 1860 München vs Dynamo Dresden
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Dynamo Dresden shaded a tight game against 1860 München 3-2 away from home. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Dynamo Dresden as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, 1860 München had 42% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 58%, shots finished 13-22.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for 1860 München and 1.50 for Dynamo Dresden.

1860 München vs Dynamo Dresden Result & Final Score

1860 München 2 - 3 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

1860 München vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 29%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Dresden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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