Stuttgart II 3-2 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over
57%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.23
2-3
45%
1.87
4-5
26%
3.01
6+
8%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.21
1/2
4%
21.85
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
9%
7.58
X/2
16%
4.51
X/X
14%
5.5
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.55
2/X
5%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 4% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Stuttgart II The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt The Market 52%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.51 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
1.60 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
Great Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Great
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
3 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart II
3 - 2
AWAY Ingolstadt
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
368 Passes 351
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
3 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Stuttgart II vs Ingolstadt
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Stuttgart II shaded a tight game against Ingolstadt 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

A gentle 51% lean on Ingolstadt didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came home.

Under the surface, Ingolstadt saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 13-20.

Stuttgart II vs Ingolstadt Result & Final Score

Stuttgart II 3 - 2 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stuttgart II vs Ingolstadt Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart II 25%, draw 24%, Ingolstadt 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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