Saarbrücken 1-1 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.1
Over
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.08
2-3
45%
1.85
4-5
26%
3.07
6+
8%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.92
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.15
X/1
21%
3.79
X/2
6%
11.35
X/X
12%
5.99
2/1
3%
21.45
2/2
8%
8.62
2/X
4%
16.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 3% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Saarbrücken The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching The Market 21%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.96 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
0.76 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.16
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
318 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Unterhaching
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-1 HT 1-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
17.09.2023 Unterhaching Unterhaching 0-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
14.02.2021 Unterhaching Unterhaching 0-1 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
18.10.2020 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-1 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
15.02.2014 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-0 HT 1-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
31.08.2013 Unterhaching Unterhaching 3-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
1 - 1
AWAY Unterhaching
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
408 Passes 226
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Saarbrücken vs Unterhaching
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Saarbrücken and Unterhaching shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Saarbrücken carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Saarbrücken had 61% of the ball to Unterhaching's 39%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Saarbrücken and 0.83 for Unterhaching.

Saarbrücken vs Unterhaching Result & Final Score

Saarbrücken 1 - 1 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Saarbrücken vs Unterhaching Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 65%, draw 20%, Unterhaching 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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