BW Lohne 3-2 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.97/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.41
+22% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BW Lohne
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Hamburg II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
42% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 BW Lohne BW Lohne 1-2 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
07.10.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 4-4 HT 2-3 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
29.04.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 0-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
30.11.2022 BW Lohne BW Lohne 2-3 HT 2-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH BW Lohne vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BW Lohne squeezed past Hamburg II 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had BW Lohne as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hamburg II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BW Lohne and 2.75 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of BW Lohne vs Hamburg II?

BW Lohne 3-2 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BW Lohne vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a BW Lohne win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split BW Lohne 44%, draw 26%, Hamburg II 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BW Lohne), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BW Lohne) ✓ BTTS Yes
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