BW Lohne 1-2 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.8
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.95
Over 2.5
38%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
32%
-7.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+8.0pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+14.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-14.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.47/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.91
+7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
252 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BW Lohne
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Hamburg II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 4-4 HT 2-3 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
29.04.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 0-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
30.11.2022 BW Lohne BW Lohne 2-3 HT 2-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH BW Lohne vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II squeezed past BW Lohne 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamburg II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hamburg II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for BW Lohne and 3.00 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of BW Lohne vs Hamburg II?

BW Lohne 1-2 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BW Lohne vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split BW Lohne 24%, draw 33%, Hamburg II 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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