Cray Wanderers 1-1 Wingate & Finchley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wingate & Finchley EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
0.86/2.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.75
-41% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cray Wanderers
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Wingate & Finchley
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
27.01.2024 Cray Wanderers Cray Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Wingate & Finchley Wingate & Finchley İNGNLP
04.11.2023 Wingate & Finchley Wingate & Finchley 1-3 HT 1-1 Cray Wanderers Cray Wanderers İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Cray Wanderers vs Wingate & Finchley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cray Wanderers and Wingate & Finchley shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cray Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cray Wanderers and 0.50 for Wingate & Finchley.

What was the final score of Cray Wanderers vs Wingate & Finchley?

Cray Wanderers 1-1 Wingate & Finchley in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cray Wanderers vs Wingate & Finchley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wingate & Finchley win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cray Wanderers 35%, draw 28%, Wingate & Finchley 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wingate & Finchley), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wingate & Finchley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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