Gainsborough Trinity 2-1 Grantham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.51
Over
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
69%
-14.2pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Grantham Town The Market 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Grantham Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 2-2 HT 2-1 Grantham Town Grantham Town İNGNLP
27.12.2021 Grantham Town Grantham Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
2-1
AWAY Grantham Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Grantham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity edged past Grantham Town 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gainsborough Trinity as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 59% of the ball to Grantham Town's 41%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.50 for Grantham Town.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Grantham Town?

Gainsborough Trinity 2-1 Grantham Town in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Grantham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 55%, draw 24%, Grantham Town 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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