Hanwell Town 0-2 Chertsey Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.23
Over Pick
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
42%
4-5
22%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hanwell Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.15/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+21% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +56%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hanwell Town vs Chertsey Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chertsey Town got the better of Hanwell Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Chertsey Town made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hanwell Town vs Chertsey Town?

Hanwell Town 0-2 Chertsey Town in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hanwell Town vs Chertsey Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hanwell Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hanwell Town 38%, draw 27%, Chertsey Town 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hanwell Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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