Harborough Town 4-2 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town beat Stourbridge 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Harborough Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Stourbridge?

Harborough Town 4-2 Stourbridge in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 32%, draw 29%, Stourbridge 39%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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