Hastings United 1-0 Harefield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-13.7pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.9pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.0pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hastings United EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Harefield United EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hastings United vs Harefield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hastings United nicked a narrow win over Harefield United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hastings United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Hastings United vs Harefield United?

Hastings United 1-0 Harefield United in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hastings United vs Harefield United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hastings United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hastings United 56%, draw 24%, Harefield United 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hastings United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hastings United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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