Hereford FC 1-1 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-13.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+11.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+17% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC and Ilkeston Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hereford FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Ilkeston Town?

Hereford FC 1-1 Ilkeston Town in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 45%, draw 24%, Ilkeston Town 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hereford FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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