Newcastle Town vs Scunthorpe United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Town v Scunthorpe United — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Town 1-1 Scunthorpe United — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Town and Scunthorpe United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Scunthorpe United at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Newcastle Town had 39% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 61%, shots finished 2-12.
What was the final score of Newcastle Town vs Scunthorpe United?
Newcastle Town 1-1 Scunthorpe United in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Town vs Scunthorpe United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Town 20%, draw 21%, Scunthorpe United 58%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.