Spalding United 0-0 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
41%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
19%
+15.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
41%
Away Win
57%
-15.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 61%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United and Alfreton Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Alfreton Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Alfreton Town?

Spalding United 0-0 Alfreton Town in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 35%, draw 24%, Alfreton Town 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alfreton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Under 2.5
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