14/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Truro City vs Brackley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
27%
Draw
26%
36%
Away Win
40%
57%
Under 2.5
52%
43%
Over 2.5
48%
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
55%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Truro City v Brackley Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Truro City
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Brackley Town
EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-58% /
-58%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-27%
/
-35%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
235 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
295 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.7
POST-MATCH
Truro City vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Brackley Town saw off Truro City 2-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Brackley Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Truro City vs Brackley Town?
Truro City 0-2 Brackley Town in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Truro City vs Brackley Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Truro City 37%, draw 27%, Brackley Town 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Truro City) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Truro City)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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14 Sep 2024