Welling United 0-1 Chatham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

Welling United
0-1 HT 0-1
Chatham Town
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Welling United vs Chatham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.57
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
59%
-18.3pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.4pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Welling United v Chatham Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chatham Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-73% / -73% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Chatham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chatham Town nicked a narrow win over Welling United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Welling United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Chatham Town?

Welling United 0-1 Chatham Town in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Chatham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Welling United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Welling United 41%, draw 29%, Chatham Town 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Welling United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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