FC Astana 2-1 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
26%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
68%
-16.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
11%
+15.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.5pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.16/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.66
+13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +16%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
29.07.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
20.05.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 3-2 HT 2-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
30.10.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
21.08.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 1-0 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
27.06.2021 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 3-2 HT 2-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana nicked a narrow win over Kyzyl-Zhar 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Astana and 1.00 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

FC Astana 2-1 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 52%, draw 22%, Kyzyl-Zhar 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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