FK Turan 2-1 Shakhter Karagandy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
42%
3.18
Away
21%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.6pp
41%
Draw
28%
+13.6pp
21%
Away Win
28%
-7.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Turan EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 32%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
0.18/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.35
-87% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Turan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
09.10.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
05.08.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 0-2 HT 0-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZKK
08.07.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 4-0 HT 2-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZKK
08.05.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 2-0 HT 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
02.10.2021 FK Turan FK Turan 0-0 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
POST-MATCH FK Turan vs Shakhter Karagandy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Turan squeezed past Shakhter Karagandy 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 41% / 21% — and on the day FK Turan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Turan and 1.00 for Shakhter Karagandy.

What was the final score of FK Turan vs Shakhter Karagandy?

FK Turan 2-1 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakistan - Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Turan vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Turan 37%, draw 41%, Shakhter Karagandy 21%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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