Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kariobangi Sharks v Tusker — Team-Based Signals
Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Kariobangi Sharks
KEN2
3-0
HT 0-0
Tusker
KEN2
Kariobangi Sharks 3-2 Tusker — Actual Match Statistics
Kariobangi Sharks nicked a narrow win over Tusker 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Tusker at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kariobangi Sharks had 67% of the ball to Tusker's 33%, shots finished 7-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 0.50 for Tusker.
What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker?
Kariobangi Sharks 3-2 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 34%, draw 26%, Tusker 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.