Sofapaka 0-1 Talanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
22%
2.88
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.2pp
22%
Draw
31%
-8.8pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
64%
-11.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
36%
+11.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Talanta EU Bookmakers 34%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
0.52/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.51
-21% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +138% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sofapaka
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Talanta
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
04.11.2023 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-3 HT 0-0 Talanta KEN
03.04.2022 Talanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN2
16.03.2022 Sofapaka Sofapaka 1-2 HT 1-1 Talanta KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sofapaka
0-1
AWAY Talanta
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs Talanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talanta edged past Sofapaka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Talanta found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sofapaka had 47% of the ball to Talanta's 53%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Talanta led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sofapaka and 1.67 for Talanta.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Talanta?

Sofapaka 0-1 Talanta in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Talanta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talanta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 38%, draw 22%, Talanta 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talanta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
14 Sep 2024
13:00 Nairobi City Stars vs Bidco United Analysis →
16:00 Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker Analysis →