Nairobi City Stars 1-1 Bidco United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bidco United EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nairobi City Stars
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Bidco United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
03.09.2023 Bidco United Bidco United 1-1 HT 0-0 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN
05.03.2022 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 2-0 HT 0-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
05.03.2022 Bidco United Bidco United 2-0 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN
24.10.2021 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 2-0 HT 0-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nairobi City Stars
1-1
AWAY Bidco United
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nairobi City Stars vs Bidco United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nairobi City Stars and Bidco United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Nairobi City Stars had 41% of the ball to Bidco United's 59%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nairobi City Stars had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nairobi City Stars and 0.75 for Bidco United.

What was the final score of Nairobi City Stars vs Bidco United?

Nairobi City Stars 1-1 Bidco United in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nairobi City Stars vs Bidco United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nairobi City Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nairobi City Stars 40%, draw 26%, Bidco United 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nairobi City Stars), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nairobi City Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
14 Sep 2024
15:00 Sofapaka vs Talanta Analysis →
16:00 Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker Analysis →