Tukums II 2-0 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

Tukums II
2-0 HT 0-0
Ogre United
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Tukums II vs Ogre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tukums II v Ogre United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 37%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.72/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
+3% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +129% / -54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Tukums II vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tukums II beat Ogre United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tukums II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs Ogre United?

Tukums II 2-0 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tukums II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 38%, draw 29%, Ogre United 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tukums II) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tukums II)
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