Valmiera II 2-0 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

Valmiera II
2-0 HT 1-0
Smiltene
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Valmiera II vs Smiltene Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.4pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.9pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.7pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valmiera II v Smiltene — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 14%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/3.06
-50% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Valmiera II vs Smiltene Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valmiera II
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Smiltene
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 2-4 HT 0-2 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
04.11.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 2-2 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
23.07.2023 Valmiera II Valmiera II 0-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
POST-MATCH Valmiera II vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera II beat Smiltene 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valmiera II as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Valmiera II had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Valmiera II and 1.33 for Smiltene.

What was the final score of Valmiera II vs Smiltene?

Valmiera II 2-0 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera II vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera II win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Valmiera II 66%, draw 20%, Smiltene 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera II), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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